Thursday, October 7, 2021

SEC+3: Week Six Picks

 


Week six is here! Here's how last week went, followed by this year's overall record:

Week Five Record: 9-2

2021 Record: 41-14

Let's get into this week's picks!


#13 Arkansas @ #17 Ole Miss (-5.5)

This is one of several big conference games this week. In fact, each SEC team playing this week, outside of Missouri (hosting North Texas) and Mississippi State (Bye), will play a conference game. I've always been one to pick a good defense over a good offense. Arkansas is coming off a disappointing showing at Georgia last week, and Sam Pittman's team is looking for a nice rebound win to get the 2021 season back on track. Ole Miss will have to really step up on defense, and prevent the Razorbacks ground game from getting into gear. Ultimately, the running game and defense is what gets Arkansas back on track, and the big win puts last week's shutout in Athens in the rearview mirror.

The pick: Arkansas 35 Ole Miss 24

Vanderbilt @ #20 Florida (-39)

Brace for impact, Vanderbilt fans. The bottom is coming.

The pick: Florida 52 Vanderbilt 6

South Carolina @ Tennessee (-10.5)

The Vols 62-24 win against Missouri last week was a great boost of confidence for Tennessee. South Carolina will really need to clean up penalties and find creative ways to run the football. If the Gamecocks can find a way to give young quarterback Luke Doty some time to throw the football, then South Carolina might have a chance. Tennessee will be breaking out the classing Halloween uniforms this weekend, which bring bad memories of 2009 back into the minds of many South Carolina fans. While I don't think things will get that bad, Tennessee still has a chance to win this game big.

The pick: Tennessee 31 South Carolina 21

#2 Georgia (-15.5) @ #18 Auburn

"Good ol' Fashion Hate" is back for this rivalry's 2021 installment. This year's edition will be at Jordan-Hare Stadium. In my mind, Georgia and Alabama are in a different tier than the rest of the college football's contenders. Auburn found a way to get a big win in Baton Rouge last weekend, and Bo Nix was able to make some phenomenal plays with his feet to create time to throw to his receivers down field. He won't be able to do that against Georgia, as the Bulldogs defense runs on a different gear. I see Georgia stopping everything that Auburn tries on offense, but maybe the Tigers can be a little more creative than the rest of the offensive game plans against Georgia that we've seen so far this year.

The pick: Georgia 38 Auburn 13

North Texas @ Missouri (-19)

Missouri will try to bounce back after the thumping handed to the Tigers by Tennessee last weekend. North Texas will make this game a little closer than people think, and there's a chance for a lot of points to be scored in this game. 

The pick: Missouri 41 North Texas 28

LSU @ #16 Kentucky (-3)

Mark Stoops continues to make a case to win Coach of the Year in the SEC, as his Wildcats are currently sitting at 5-0. LSU comes into Lexington hungry for a conference victory, but Kentucky has proven to be one of the more solid defensive units in the SEC East. Yes, you read that correctly. I believe the Wildcats win a physical conference game that will come down to the wire in the fourth quarter. 

The pick: Kentucky 27 LSU 23

#1 Alabama (-18) @ Texas A&M

Texas A&M is struggling through a lot of injuries in 2021. Not time to panic yet in College Station, but this season is looking like a wash. The Aggies will have a chance to use this season as a "proving year" to see who will lead Texas A&M to a successful 2022 season. The Alabama 38-run rule is in effect in this one.

The pick: Alabama 38 Texas A&M 17

"Plus Three" Games for Week Six

#6 Oklahoma (-3) vs. #21 Texas - Cotton Bowl - Dallas, TX

One of two College Football Playoff "shake up" games in my "plus three" games this week. 

The pick: Texas 35 Oklahoma 31

#4 Penn State @ #3 Iowa (-1.5)

"Shake up" game number two on our list, this game impacts how the Big 10 standings will end up finishing for 2021. 

The pick: Iowa 20 Penn State 17

#19 Wake Forest @ Syracuse

I put this game on the "plus three" this week so I could give a shoutout to Wake Forest. I think Wake Forest and Pittsburgh are the two best teams in the ACC at the moment.

The pick: Wake Forest 35 Syracuse 21

As always, thanks for reading this week! I hope everybody has an awesome, safe weekend and enjoys all of the week six action!






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